Live Prediction Market Odds
Real-time odds comparison across Kalshi and Polymarket. Find the best prices on elections, economics, crypto, and world events — updated every 10 minutes.
How to Read Prediction Market Odds
Prediction market odds represent the probability of an event happening, expressed as a percentage. A "Yes" price of 65% means the market believes there's a 65% chance the event will occur. Prices are determined by real money trades — when more traders buy "Yes," the price goes up.
Why Compare Odds Across Platforms?
Different platforms attract different traders, leading to price differences on the same event. These spreads create opportunities:
- Better entry prices — Buy "Yes" on the platform with the lower price for the same event
- Arbitrage signals — Large spreads between platforms may indicate mispricing
- Market consensus — When both platforms agree, the probability estimate is likely more reliable
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Key Differences
Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and available to US residents. It uses dollar-denominated contracts and supports bank transfers. Polymarket operates globally using USDC (a stablecoin pegged 1:1 to USD) and generally has higher liquidity on crypto and political markets. US residents face restrictions on Polymarket.
For in-depth comparisons, see our Polymarket vs Kalshi head-to-head review.